Industrial Trend - Food Retail & Hypermarkets & Super Centers
3
hypermarkets operate at a much larger scale, with higher revenue, cash flow, and market cap. Both segments show steady growth, but profits are more concentrated in hypermarket leaders.
3/46
Median P/E Ratio Over Time, US
4
P/E ratios for both industries remains stable, with no signs of a valuation bubble. Hypermarkets typically trade at a slight premium due to stronger margins and scale
4/46
Market Leaders by Market Cap 2024, USA
5
Walmart and Costco dominate market capitalization, far ahead of competitors. Industry performance and investor sentiment heavily depend on these two firms.
5/46
Factual vs. Speculative?
6
Walmart's market cap trends closely with fundamentals, suggesting a factual valuation. Costco shows a sharper valuation increase, indicating stronger investor optimism.
6/46
Price Regression Model (PRM):
7
Walmart = Hybrid. Regression fit is moderate, indicating partial dependence on fundamentals
Hybrid - factual with some speculative influence
7/46
Price Regression Model (PRM):
8
Costco - Factual
Costco operates as a factual stock despite recent valuation acceleration
8/46
Profitability & Growth Comparison
10
Walmart leads in scale, but Costco delivers superior margins and ROA.
Costco's strornger efficiency helps explain its higher valuation
10/46
Financial Health Indicators
11
Both maintain stable current rations, indicating controrlled short-term liquidity management
Costco has a slightly lower liability/asset ratio, signaling a more conservative capital structure.
11/46
Up-to 2022 Operating Efficiency
12
Costco's SG&A and labor productivity outperform Walmart, supporting its margin advantage
Inventory turnover remains stable for both, reflecting efficient supply chain management
12/46
Enterprise Breakdown - Revenue 2022
13
Walmart operates on thin margins, with COGS dominate total costs.
Slightly higher SG&A pressure contributes to Walmart's lower net margins vs Costco
13/46
Intrinsic Value Analysis – Costco
14
Costco's valuation rises faster than net income growth widening the price earnings gap
Market expectations hinge on accelerating profitability
14/46
Costco: Profitability & Financial Health
15
Net margin and revenue trend upward consistently, highlighting strong business performance. Conservative debt ratios reinforce Costco's financial stability.
15/46
Feasibility Analysis – Costco
16
Required net-income growth exceeds historical averages to justify current valuation
Strong fundamentals remain, but upside may be limited at this price level
16/46
Industrial Trend - Industry Total Size
19
US show higher but more volatile profits than Japan and China
19/46
Median P/E Ratio Over Time, US, China, Japan
20
China's P/E ratio approaches historical highs, showing overevaluation risk.
20/46
World’s Largest Pharmaceuticals Companies 2024
21
Largest pharma companies hold substantial market cap. Industry leadership is concentrated, reflecting high R&D barriers and long drug development cycles.
21/46
Enterprise Ranking - Market Capitalization
22
Market cap ranking highlights dominance by firms with diversified drug portfolios.
Valuations reflect long-term earnings stability and resilience to econonmic cycles
22/46
Enterprise Ranking - Market Capitalization Growth Rate
23
Companies with strorng innovation pipelines show higher growth rates. Slower growth firms typically face weaker R&D productivity and patents issues
23/46
Price Regression Model (PRM) for Individual Stocks
25
Strong regression fit indicates valuations largely ties to earnings.
25/46
Profitability & Growth
26
Consistent revenue growth supported by in market drugs and expanding areas. Profitability reflects efficient R&D investment and patent-protected products
26/46
Financial Health
27
AbbVie has a larger liability asset ratio.
27/46
Operating Efficiency –
28
Johnson and Johnson have higher inventory days, while AbbVie has larger labor productivity, SG&A expenses are similar for both companies.
28/46
Comparative Valuation:
29
Johnson & Johnson have a higher net income, total stockholder equity, total revenue and market capitalization
29/46
Supply chain mapping and bubble-chart
31
Largest firms represent major revenue centers. Apple, Samsung, Dell are the biggest companies
31/46
Industrial Trend - Choose Your Own KPIs (Industry Total)
32
Both revenue and profit show long-term growth due to rising device demand. market cap increases reflect strong adoption of consumer and enterprise technologies.
32/46
Median P/E Ratio Over Time, USA
33
P/E ratios fluctuate with innovation cycles and supply chain constraints. Recent levels rremain elevated but not indicative of a sector wide bubble
33/46
Enterprise Ranking - Market Capitalization
34
Leading firms like Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta dominate the market.
34/46
Enterprise Ranking - Market Capitalization
35
Revenue rankings differ from market cap, highlighting premium placed on innovation and margins
35/46
Factual vs. Speculative:
37
Apple & Microsoft = Factual
Apple's market cap closely follows its net income trend across all years. Microsoft shows a strorng and consistent relationship between net income growth and market growth. The proportional increase reflects fundamentals-driven valuation.
Meta = Hybrid/Speculative
Meta's market cap swings far more dramatically than its net income.
37/46
Price Regression Model (PRM) for Individual Stocks
38
Apple's valuation is primarily driven by earnings confirming a factual, fundamental based pricing pattern.
38/46
Price Regression Model (PRM) for Individual Stocks
39
Microsoft is a factual stock. Valuation is strongly tied to earnings.
39/46
Price Regression Model (PRM) for Individual Stocks
40
Meta = Hybrid (Factual and Speculative earnings).
40/46
Enterprise Trend
42
Apple and Microsoft maintain high gross margins and steadily rising revenue and net income, reflecting durable competitive advantages and predictable earnigns strength. Meta's margins and ROA fluctuate more, including a sharp 2022 decline, showing higher sensitivity to advertising cycles and strategic investment phases.
42/46
Market Cap vs. Stockholder Equity
43
Apple's market cap rises despite declining equity, showing strong investor confidence in intangible value. This supports Apple's classification as a factual stock with valuation driven by earnings, not book values.
43/46
Financial Health
45
All three firms show strong long-term revenue growth, but Apple and Microsoft maintain far stronger balance sheet stability than Meta.
45/46
Comparative Valuation:
46
Strong revenue and earnings growth for Apple and microsoft support their rising market caps, while Meta shows more volatility but significant recovery. Apple and microsoft show sustained driven valuation growth, while Meta's performance is more cyclical but exhibits strorng recovery momentum in the latest years.
46/46